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US-N Korea relations: Mutual suspicion still exists


President Kim of North Korea is playing smart game too
Quad can alter geopolitics in Indo-Pacific region
The formation of quadrilateral axis among US, India, Japan and Australia may have rattled China briefly but the axis will take years before it could really be reckoned with. Before the Quad can be true a force multiplier, all four nations need to have proper mechanism and develop understanding of the situation including geography and culture. India has been facing problem due to rise of China which is no more peaceful rather threatening to its interests all over the continents. India neve paid much attention to Chinese power politics because it had the comfort of no border tension with Beijing along the Line of Actual Control.
China-Russia using North Korea for strategic powerplay
It appears to be a well choreographed drama. The North Korean issue is fast snowballing into a major challenge to global security by the reclusive regime which is clamoring for war. Indeed, the war rhetoric suits Kim Jung Un’s regime more than Trump administration. This war hysteria although artificially created to meet the demands of some other powers is too helping Un’s government which is facing a bleak economic future. North Korea knows that Trump is a mere paper tiger and can do no harm to him as long he has the support of China-the key benefactor. Indeed, China’s role is equally dubious than that of Un’s government in promoting war cry.
Chinese action in Doklam is new normal
The current standoff between India and China on the plateau of Doklam is setting a new power equation and Beijing has tactfully chosen the time of its own to engage India. Although India has very limited option to deal with China in such a situation, China has array of scopes to clinch its own point of view. All through the crisis, China was punching but India was defending. Since India does not have any claim on Chinese side of the territory belonging to Tibet, Beijing is at ease to raise claim and then push inch by inch. This type of strategic forward strategy by China is unknown to many Indian politicians.
OBOR: China wants to lead from front but solo
The One Belt One Road mega event known as Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Beijing concluded with much fanfare which has marked a journey for China into global stage as a big power. It could be a step towards achieving China’s long cherished dream to get back that lost glory of Middle Kingdom. The BRI has signaled China’s intention for future. It appears Beijing is ready to dump BRICS and other initiatives, intends to go solo. Although BRI is going to be a flagship venture for China, the Communist Party of China would be the main beneficiary than the Chinese state. The grip of the CPC in power will be harder and Jinping’s statesmanship could be compared with that of Deng Xiaoping, if all goes well.
Change of Kashmir's status can lead to war
As the status of Kashmir is once again being debated due to changing geopolitics and economic interests, the British are back at the game. Recently, the British Parliament has passed a resolution criticizing Pakistan’s plan to annex Gilgit and Baltistan as part of its fifth province. This move, many Pakistani experts feel, could legitimize its territorial claim and supremacy of Pakistan constitution to govern the region legally. This will in turn keep Indian argument of GB as a disputed territory at bay. It appears that Pakistan has done it after some advice from the Chinese. If this was the case in the beginning that Pakistan wanted to annex GB as part of its fifth province, the job would have been done long ago.
US-China relations facing new flashpoint
While United States, under the presidency of Donald Trump, is looking for revitalizing its prowess and attempting to regain lost glory, China is in a hurry to attain the new global superpower status by showing off its military and economic strength. The catching up time between China and US may not be too long before they can be near equals at least at some levels. Earlier it was predicted that by 2040 China can be equal to US in four strategic parameters such as military, economic, political and cultural. But the fast pace of technological innovations and ever sliding geopolitics can make it happen much faster.
American withdrawal may become more forceful
The US president elect Donald Trump is going to alter the geopolitics in near to medium term paving the way for China to grab the vacuum space. This was perhaps long due and change never waits for any approval. Like the fundamental forces of nature, change has its own dynamics. Therefore, global order will witness a massive change leading to confusion and chaos. This is not only going to alter the strategic thinking but realignment of forces will also occur. A series of new calibrations will be made by US partners, friends and allies.
Victims of terrorism and geopolitics in South Asia
The entire region of South Asia and adjoining areas could soon witness their path to development may get overpowered by growth of terrorism. To tackle this is a huge challenge by itself. But if states get into sponsoring such activities it can be far more dangerous. The Asian regions most of them are smaller countries are looking for better life for their citizens and opting for a strong economic growth. Only a handful of them, which includes Pakistan, are not very comfortable with such ideas of collective growth and mutual respect for peaceful existence. To say that all the problems the region is facing can be a leftover of history appears to be naïve.